Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.030798 0.036540 0.042519 0.049171 0.056325 0.063755 0.072020
2025-12-21 0.022086 0.030158 0.039121 0.049622 0.061423 0.074134 0.088728
2025-12-28 0.018536 0.028343 0.039774 0.053658 0.069705 0.087378 0.108041
2026-01-04 0.013347 0.023563 0.036185 0.052134 0.071117 0.092485 0.117907
2026-01-11 0.010514 0.021169 0.035013 0.053066 0.075030 0.100144 0.130387
2026-01-18 0.008092 0.018856 0.033597 0.053415 0.078019 0.106553 0.141276
2026-01-25 0.006180 0.016888 0.032361 0.053773 0.080847 0.112634 0.151671
2026-02-01 0.004491 0.014875 0.030813 0.053537 0.082798 0.117564 0.160626
2026-02-08 0.002642 0.011995 0.027687 0.050970 0.081648 0.118634 0.164919
2026-02-15 0.001634 0.010315 0.026107 0.050313 0.082780 0.122356 0.172258
2026-02-22 0.001064 0.009341 0.025497 0.050906 0.085449 0.127901 0.181726
2026-03-01 0.000662 0.008548 0.025080 0.051704 0.088339 0.133682 0.191450
2026-03-08 0.000430 0.008180 0.025431 0.053735 0.093041 0.141949 0.204480
2026-03-15 0.000179 0.007361 0.024911 0.054473 0.096045 0.148148 0.215082
2026-03-22 0.000171 0.007835 0.026769 0.058756 0.103799 0.160296 0.232911
2026-03-29 0.000005 0.006341 0.024772 0.057167 0.103617 0.162468 0.238606
2026-04-05 NaN 0.005789 0.024503 0.058147 0.106867 0.168930 0.249503
2026-04-12 NaN 0.005112 0.023873 0.058513 0.109244 0.174265 0.259005
2026-04-19 NaN 0.004504 0.023282 0.058888 0.111600 0.179549 0.268428
2026-04-26 NaN 0.003803 0.022346 0.058641 0.113051 0.183648 0.276369
2026-05-03 NaN 0.002659 0.020010 0.055948 0.110970 0.183133 0.278541
2026-05-10 NaN 0.002077 0.018930 0.055258 0.111663 0.186157 0.285068
2026-05-17 NaN 0.001791 0.018633 0.055881 0.114215 0.191586 0.294579